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© 2026 The Projection Desk. Data for informational purposes only.

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2026 Election · Live Polling Data

See who's likely to win the elections that matter

Projection Desk transforms every credible poll into transparent, data-driven forecasts for the presidency, Congress, governor's races, and more so you can understand where every race stands.

National Polling Average

2026 Generic Ballot

D+4.9
Democrats

47.4%

Republicans

42.5%

Margin: +4.9 D
+0.1 vs. last week

As of Jul 29, 2026 · Weighted average

Generic Ballot Trend

National generic congressional ballot over time — Democrats vs. Republicans

Presidential Approval Rating

Trump Approval

Net 14.1
Approve

41.9%

Disapprove

56.0%

Net: -14.1
0.0 vs. last week

As of Jul 29, 2026 · Weighted average

Approval Trend

Trump approval vs. disapproval over time

Senate Forecast

Official Senate race forecasts by state

Safe D (> D+10)
Likely D (D+5–10)
Lean D (D+0.1–5)
Even
Lean R (R+0.1–5)
Likely R (R+5–10)
Safe R (> R+10)
No race

Governors Forecast

Official Governor race forecasts by state

Safe D (> D+10)
Likely D (D+5–10)
Lean D (D+0.1–5)
Even
Lean R (R+0.1–5)
Likely R (R+5–10)
Safe R (> R+10)
No race

Senate State Polls

Senate races with the most polling activity

All races

TX

Texas Senate

Dem

46.2%

Margin

D+0.3

Rep

45.9%

Leader: James Talarico · 15 polls

NC

North Carolina Senate

Dem

48.6%

Margin

D+6.3

Rep

42.3%

Leader: Roy Cooper · 14 polls

FL

Florida Senate

Dem

42.3%

Margin

R+5.2

Rep

47.5%

Leader: Ashley Moody · 12 polls

MI

Michigan Senate

Dem

46.0%

Margin

D+2.9

Rep

43.2%

Leader: Abdul El-Sayed · 10 polls

Governors State Polls

Governor races with the most polling activity

All races

TX

Texas Governor

Dem

42.3%

Margin

R+7.8

Rep

50.1%

Leader: Greg Abbott · 14 polls

FL

Florida Governor

Dem

42.3%

Margin

R+0.4

Rep

42.7%

Leader: Byron Donalds · 12 polls

NY

New York Governor

Dem

49.1%

Margin

D+11.9

Rep

37.2%

Leader: Kathy Hochul · 11 polls

MI

Michigan Governor

Dem

48.6%

Margin

D+10.6

Rep

38.0%

Leader: Jocelyn Benson · 9 polls